Wondering about the weather for July 4th celebrations in the Tri-State? Here’s what the National Weather Service is saying about the forecast for that day, and how it measures up to a typical Independence Day in the region.
It’ll be hot, but not as bad as recent heat wave
The National Weather Service is forecasting a high of 91 degrees for July 4 on Friday, with mostly clear skies and no mention of rain chances.
The humidity should be lower than it was last week during the oppressive heat wave when high dewpoints drove the heat index to 106 degrees. On Friday, the heat index (a “feels like” temperature) is expected to top out at 94 degrees.
On Saturday, mostly sunny skies are expected with a high near 93 degrees. The high will reach 92 degrees on Sunday, when shower and thunderstorm chances re-enter the forecast.
What’s the average July 4th weather like in the Tri-State?
The National Weather Service tracks conditions every day of the year, including holidays, and for Evansville, records exist back to 1897.
Of the 128 years of weather records for Evansville, the high temperature on July 4 in the city has been between 80 and 99 degrees 115 times − not surprising for summertime in the region. Only twice has the high temperature reached 100 degrees in the holiday in Evansville − once in 2012 (103 degrees) and in 1921 (101).
The coolest July 4 holidays in Evansville? Twice the high only got to 72 degrees, in 2009 and 1972.
How often does it rain on July 4 in Evansville?
The National Weather Service says measurable rain has fallen 32 percent of the time dating back to 1897. That matches with recent years in the city. Rain has fallen five of the past 15 years on July 4 in Evansville, with 0.2 inches recorded in 2024.
The wettest July 4 onr ecord in Evansville? That was 2016, when 2.28 inches of rain fell.