Data Skrive
Eduardo Rodriguez and Randy Vasquez will each get the start when the Arizona Diamondbacks and the San Diego Padres play on Thursday at PETCO Park, at 9:40 p.m. ET. The favored Diamondbacks have -124 moneyline odds against the underdog Padres, who are listed at +104. Arizona is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +135 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for this contest.
Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Diamondbacks complete comeback trailing four runs in ninth inning vs. Padres
The Arizona Diamondbacks completed their comeback trailing five runs in ninth inning against the San Diego Padres.
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Game Information & Odds
- When: Thursday, July 10, 2025 at 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
- How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SDPA, and ARID
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds Diamondbacks -124 +104 8.5 -120 -100 -1.5 +135 -162
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction
- Score Prediction: Padres 5, Diamondbacks 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 53%, Padres 47%
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have entered the game as favorites 61 times this season and won 31, or 50.8%, of those games.
- Arizona is 21-21 this season when entering a game favored by -124 or more on the moneyline.
- The Diamondbacks have a 55.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 43 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (46.5%) in those games.
- San Diego has a win-loss record of 14-20 when favored by +104 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The Padres have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance
- The Diamondbacks were favored on the moneyline in six of their last 10 games, and they went 2-4 in those matchups.
- Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
- The Diamondbacks have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Diamondbacks Recent Stats
Stat Avg/Total Record 4-6 Runs Per Game 3.9 HR 14 ERA 3.60 K/9 8.8
Diamondbacks Player Insights
- Geraldo Perdomo has 18 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 53 walks while hitting .267.
- Of all hitters in baseball, Perdomo is 130th in home runs and 13th in RBI.
- Josh Naylor has a club-best .296 batting average.
- Naylor is 90th in home runs and 15th in RBI in the bigs.
- Eugenio Suarez paces the Diamondbacks in home runs (28) and runs batted in (74).
- Suarez will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBIs.
- Corbin Carroll has 14 doubles, 10 triples, 20 home runs and 31 walks while hitting .251.
- Carroll takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with a double, two triples, a walk and an RBI.
Padres Recent Betting Performance
- In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Padres had a record of 2-3.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- Over their last 10 games, the Padres are 5-5-0 against the spread.
Padres Recent Stats
Stat Avg/Total Record 5-5 Runs Per Game 3.0 HR 8 ERA 3.68 K/9 7.6
Padres Player Insights
- Manny Machado paces the Padres with 15 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 53.
- Among all hitters in the majors, Machado is 42nd in home runs and 30th in RBI.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has shown off his power as he paces his team with 15 home runs.
- Tatis ranks 42nd among all batters in the majors in home runs, and 88th in RBI.
- Luis Arraez leads the Padres’ lineup with a .293 batting average.
- Gavin Sheets is hitting .262 with 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 26 walks.
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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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