Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 3

Data Skrive

Chris Bassitt takes the mound for the Toronto Blue Jays on Thursday at Rogers Centre against Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees. First pitch is at 7:07 p.m. ET for the third game of a four-game series. The Yankees are the favorite in this one, at -125, while the underdog Blue Jays have +105 odds to upset. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +130 odds). An 8.5-run over/under is set in the matchup.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

  • When: Thursday, July 3, 2025 at 7:07 p.m. ET
  • Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
  • How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SNET, and YES

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds Yankees -125 +105 8.5 -120 -101 -1.5 +130 -156

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Blue Jays 6, Yankees 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Yankees 50%, Blue Jays 50%

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 76 times this season and won 45, or 59.2%, of those games.
  • New York has entered 70 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 42-28 in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 55.6% chance to win.
  • The Blue Jays have been victorious in 27, or 54%, of the 50 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Toronto has a win-loss record of 17-13 when favored by +105 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 48.8% chance of walking away with the win.

New York Yankees

NYY

-1.5

-125

O 8.5

Toronto Blue Jays

TOR

+1.5

+105

U 8.5

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • The Yankees were the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and they went 5-5 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Yankees’ record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 5-5 Runs Per Game 4.9 HR 14 ERA 3.78 K/9 7.7

Yankees Player Insights

  • Judge has a team-best batting average of .358, while pacing the Yankees in home runs (30) and runs batted in (67).
  • Among all MLB batters, Judge is first in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
  • Cody Bellinger is batting .268 with 15 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Bellinger is 57th in home runs and 58th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Bellinger carries a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 games he is batting .364 with three doubles, two home runs, a walk and six RBIs.
  • Paul Goldschmidt has 16 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 27 walks while hitting .284.
  • Anthony Volpe has 21 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 34 walks while batting .225.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

  • In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Blue Jays have a record of 4-1.
  • The Blue Jays and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Blue Jays have a record of 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 7-3 Runs Per Game 6.1 HR 9 ERA 3.64 K/9 8.3

Blue Jays Player Insights

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is hitting .278 with 17 doubles, 12 home runs and 47 walks.
  • Guerrero ranks 57th in home runs and 51st in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
  • George Springer has a team-best 13 home runs.
  • Springer ranks 45th in homers and 38th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Bo Bichette has collected a team-high 49 runs batted in.
  • Ernie Clement is batting .301 with 17 doubles, four home runs and 19 walks.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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